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UNF Poll: Support for Property Tax Amendment Hinges on Contested Ballot Language

Donalds, Moody Maintain Single-Digit Leads in November Governor, Senate Races

Jacksonville, Fla. – A new poll of likely midterm election voters in Florida from the Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) at the University of North Florida shows Byron Donalds in a five-point lead in the race for Florida Governor. Respondents were also asked about their approval of several elected officials, as well as existing and proposed policies.

When asked who they would vote for in the 2026 Florida governor’s election if the candidates were Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly, 46% of respondents indicated a vote for Donalds, 41% for Jolly, 5% said someone else, 2% said they wouldn’t vote, and 6% were undecided.

Regarding the race for U.S. Senator from Florida, 50% of respondents indicated a vote for Republican incumbent Ashley Moody when matched up with both Democrats Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon.

“These races are notably closer than we’ve seen in recent election cycles, somewhat unsurprising given that the party that controls the presidency usually struggles in midterm elections,” said PORL’s faculty director, Dr. Sean Freeder.

Respondents were also asked about President Trump's job approval, as well as three likely candidates for the 2028 Republican presidential primary: Ron DeSantis, Marco Rubio, and JD Vance. Trump had the lowest overall approval of the four, with 48% saying they approve either strongly or somewhat, and 51% disapproving, with 46% strong disapproval. JD Vance received similar approval, with 49% saying they approve strongly or somewhat, and 48% who disapprove. Among registered Republicans, 18% said they either strongly or somewhat disapprove of Trump, and 14% disapprove of Vance. Both Trump and Vance are underwater among independents, with disapproval at 55% and 51%, respectively.

DeSantis and Rubio fared relatively better, with DeSantis receiving 57% approval and 41% disapproval. Similarly, Rubio’s approval came in at 56%, with 42% disapproving. Both officials did well among their Republican base and are solidly above water among independents.

“Though it’s early, Vance’s low support relative to Rubio and DeSantis suggests his proximity to Trump may become a problem for him in the 2028 Presidential Primary,” added Dr. Freeder.

When it comes to Trump’s foreign policy, 45% of respondents said they approve either strongly or somewhat, and 53% expressed disapproval. When asked about Trump’s speech, personality, and demeanor, approval was notably lower, with 39% saying they approve strongly or somewhat. About half (49%) of the entire sample said they strongly disapprove of Trump’s demeanor, and another 11% somewhat disapprove, for a total of 60% disapproval.

Additionally, respondents were asked what they think was the cause of the recent algae problem in the Reflecting Pool in Washington DC, following its renovation. Forty-two percent said the issues are due to a poorly handled renovation; 25% said vandalism was to blame, and 18% said it was due to natural or scientific processes. Three percent indicated something else.

“Unsurprisingly, perceptions of the pool issue vary greatly by party,” commented Dr. Freeder. “That said, less than a majority (45%) of Florida Republicans accept Trump’s explanation of vandalism, and only 18% of Independents said the same.”

Respondents were then asked about the proposed amendment to the Florida State Constitution that would begin to phase out taxes on homestead property, other than those directed to schools. Respondents were first told it would It would require local governments to use property taxes only for core public services. A total of 61% indicated support for the amendment (strongly or somewhat), while 32% expressed opposition. In a follow-up question, respondents were told that estimates suggest passage of the amendment would lead to a municipal budget shortfall of about $11.8 billion over two years. When asked again with this additional information, overall support for the amendment dropped by 16 percentage points to 45%, with 47% opposing.

“These numbers show how important the final ballot language will be in determining the outcome of this amendment,” said Dr. Freeder. “When told about the budget impact, likely voters decisively reject the amendment. Without that language, the subject of an ongoing lawsuit, it just barely exceeds the 60% threshold required for adoption.”

Finally, respondents were asked their opinions about artificial intelligence (AI) and data centers. The general increase in use of AI over the past year received split support and opposition among respondents, with 49% in each category. Partisans clearly differ, as 60% of Republicans showed support, compared to just 32% of Democrats. When it comes to data centers, however, just 28% of Floridians said they would support building an AI data center in their local area, with 68% saying they would oppose.

“While Floridians are evenly split on their impressions of AI, opposition to the building of data centers is overwhelming. Even groups who are positive about the technology don’t want its support infrastructure anywhere near where they live,” commented Freeder.

Please see the crosstabulations below for the full survey results.

Methodology

The UNF PORL Florida Statewide Poll consists of a random sample of 848 likely Florida midterm voters, and was conducted from July 8 through 17, 2026, by the Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) at the University of North Florida. This poll used a mixed-mode design, incorporating both telephone interviews and web surveys distributed via text message. Of the likely midterm voters who completed surveys, 459 were completed via telephone, and 389 online. The sampling frame, consisting of phone numbers, was sourced from the June 2026 update of the Florida voter file. A voter was considered “likely” if they voted in at least one of the 2020, 2022, or 2024 general elections. A proportional number of new registrants were also included in the sampling frame. Respondents who said they would “probably not” or “definitely not” vote in the 2026 midterm election were screened out of the survey. To ensure a representative sample, the 10 Florida designated media market areas (DMAs) were stratified by geography and urbanicity into 18 different strata, with Miami-Dade County separated into its own stratum due to its unique population. Surveys were conducted in English and Spanish.

Respondents were contacted by live interviewers via telephone and text message between 5 to 9 p.m. Monday through Friday and 1 to 5 p.m. Saturday, with up to three callbacks attempted. Telephone data collection took place at the PORL facility with its 40-station Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing (CATI) system. Web respondents were sent a text message with a unique link to unique link to take the survey a web-based survey platform. For both text and phone distributions, a single interviewer, through hand dialing, asked for the listed voter by name. If they reached the wrong person, or if the listed voter was not available, the interview was terminated. The response rate of this study was 4.5%, using the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) Response Rate 3 (RR3) calculation.

All data are weighted in two steps: first by educational attainment, and then by partisan registration, age, race and ethnicity, sex, and geography to match the population of voters in the 2022 general midterm election. Geographical strata, party registration, sex, race and ethnicity, and age weights were calculated using their respective proportions in Florida Voter File, and vote choice was calculated using election result data from the Florida Division of Elections. Education weights were calculated using the Census Bureau’s American Community Survey (ACS) 2023 five-year estimates for individuals 25 years of age and over, with those under 25 receiving an education weight of one. All weights are calculated and applied using the SPSS version 30 rake weighting function, and assigned a weight of one if any weighting variables are missing. The overall margin of sampling error is +/-3.8 percentage points, including estimated design effect due to weighting. Estimates for smaller subpopulations have greater margins of error, indicating greater uncertainty in the data. It is important to note that sampling error is just one of many potential sources of error. This and all other public opinion research are susceptible to unmeasured, real-world error. The research presented in this release was self-funded by PORL.

About PORL

The Public Opinion Research Lab (PORL) at the University of North Florida is an independent, non-partisan full-service survey research facility. Our top priority is to produce reliable, unbiased data through carefully executed research of the highest caliber of academic integrity. PORL opened in 2001 and is a charter member of the American Association for Public Opinion Research Transparency Initiative, and a member of the Association of Academic Survey Research Organization. As members of AAPOR, PORL’s goal is to support sound and ethical practices in the conduct of survey and public opinion research. For more information, visit unf.edu/coas/porl or contact Dr. Sean Freeder at porl@unf.edu.

About University of North Florida

The University of North Florida is a nationally ranked university located on a beautiful 1,381-acre campus in Jacksonville surrounded by nature. Serving more than 17,600 students, UNF features six colleges of distinction with innovative programs in high-demand fields. UNF students receive individualized attention from faculty and gain valuable real-world experience engaging with community partners. A top public university, UNF prepares students to make a difference in Florida and around the globe. Learn more at www.unf.edu.

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Media Contact

Amanda Ennis
Media Relations Assistant Director
Amanda.ennis@unf.edu

Methodology Contact

Dr. Sean Freeder
Public Opinion Research Lab Director
Associate Professor of Political Science
L@unf.edu">PORL@unf.edu
(904) 620-2784

Crosstabs

University of North Florida Public Opinion Research Lab Florida Likely Midterm Voter – Florida Statewide Poll
July 8–17, 2026
Overall Margin of Error: ±3.8 percentage points
Please note that subgroups in crosstabs will have greater margins of error due to smaller sample sizes.
Crosstabulations consist of weighted percentages, while observation counts (n) are unweighted totals. For more information about weighting, see the survey methodology.
Due to rounding, some column percentages may not total 100%.
Unless otherwise noted, the following survey questions were asked of all respondents.
VOL = Volunteered by respondent
For more information, visit unf.edu/coas/porl.

Accessible Crosstabs (.xlsx download)

Thinking ahead to the 2026 Florida governor’s election, how likely are you to vote?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
You will definitely vote	90%	91%	93%	82%	89%	91%	89%	91%	77%	87%	94%	92%	80%	92%	94%	88%	90%	91%	91%	88%	91%
You will probably vote	10%	9%	7%	18%	11%	9%	11%	9%	23%	13%	6%	8%	21%	8%	6%	12%	10%	9%	10%	12%	9%
You will probably not vote [SCREENED OUT]	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
You will definitely not vote [SCREENED OUT]	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Don't know/Refusal [VOL] [SCREENED OUT]	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Which of the following affordability issues do you think should be the Florida government´s first priority?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Inflation	23%	26%	19%	25%	25%	21%	21%	25%	20%	26%	22%	21%	24%	29%	17%	27%	21%	18%	26%	19%	25%
Housing costs	21%	32%	14%	20%	20%	23%	21%	22%	40%	23%	17%	18%	30%	32%	18%	17%	30%	14%	31%	17%	23%
Property taxes	21%	7%	32%	20%	24%	18%	23%	20%	14%	21%	23%	24%	12%	15%	31%	21%	17%	35%	7%	33%	17%
Property insurance	20%	11%	25%	22%	17%	23%	23%	17%	5%	19%	23%	24%	4%	11%	23%	19%	19%	23%	16%	20%	20%
Low wages	10%	20%	4%	10%	10%	11%	8%	12%	16%	9%	10%	7%	29%	12%	7%	12%	10%	5%	16%	9%	11%
Something else (please specify):	3%	4%	4%	2%	3%	4%	4%	3%	3%	1%	4%	4%	-	2%	2%	5%	2%	3%	4%	1%	4%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	1%	0%	2%	1%	2%	0%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	1%	1%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

If the election for governor of Florida were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were…

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Byron [BYE-run] Donalds, the Republican	46%	2%	81%	39%	48%	44%	56%	36%	31%	42%	51%	55%	6%	35%	52%	46%	43%	87%	2%	54%	43%
David Jolly, the Democrat	41%	91%	7%	38%	38%	44%	34%	50%	57%	40%	39%	34%	83%	53%	31%	43%	45%	2%	90%	30%	46%
Someone else [VOL]	5%	1%	5%	8%	6%	3%	4%	5%	7%	8%	3%	4%	1%	3%	7%	5%	3%	6%	3%	10%	2%
Wouldn’t vote [VOL]	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	4%	1%	1%	1%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	6%	5%	5%	11%	6%	7%	5%	7%	4%	7%	7%	6%	9%	7%	7%	6%	7%	4%	5%	5%	6%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

If the election for US Senator from Florida were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were…

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Ashley Moody, the Republican	50%	5%	86%	41%	53%	47%	58%	41%	37%	49%	53%	59%	10%	38%	63%	49%	43%	92%	3%	62%	46%
Alexander Vindman, the Democrat	40%	86%	6%	43%	36%	44%	33%	49%	53%	40%	38%	34%	73%	52%	28%	43%	43%	2%	88%	30%	45%
Someone else (please specify): [VOL]	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	5%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%
Wouldn’t vote [VOL]	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	<1%	1%	4%	1%	2%	<1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	7%	6%	6%	12%	7%	7%	6%	8%	3%	8%	8%	6%	11%	7%	5%	6%	11%	5%	5%	6%	7%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

If the election for US Senator from Florida were held today, who would you vote for if the candidates were…

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Ashley Moody, the Republican	50%	5%	87%	40%	55%	46%	58%	41%	37%	49%	53%	59%	8%	38%	61%	50%	44%	92%	4%	62%	46%
Angie Nixon, the Democrat	42%	90%	6%	43%	36%	46%	35%	49%	57%	41%	39%	34%	78%	54%	31%	44%	44%	3%	90%	32%	46%
Someone else (please specify):[VOL]	1%	-	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	2%	-	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%
Wouldn’t vote [VOL]	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	6%	4%	5%	12%	6%	6%	5%	7%	2%	8%	6%	5%	8%	6%	5%	5%	8%	4%	4%	5%	6%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

For each of the following people, please say if you approve or disapprove of their job performance. Donald Trump

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly approve	33%	1%	60%	21%	36%	30%	40%	24%	14%	25%	39%	39%	-	29%	35%	32%	32%	64%	-	41%	29%
Somewhat approve	15%	2%	21%	23%	15%	15%	17%	13%	15%	19%	14%	18%	5%	8%	21%	14%	14%	26%	2%	17%	15%
Somewhat disapprove	5%	2%	6%	7%	5%	5%	5%	5%	7%	6%	4%	5%	5%	3%	7%	6%	3%	6%	2%	7%	4%
Strongly disapprove	46%	93%	12%	48%	44%	48%	37%	57%	63%	50%	42%	38%	86%	59%	36%	48%	50%	4%	96%	35%	51%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	5%	1%	2%	<1%	2%	1%	1%	<1%	1%
Total approve	48%	3%	81%	44%	51%	45%	57%	37%	29%	43%	53%	56%	5%	37%	56%	46%	45%	90%	2%	58%	44%
Total disapprove	51%	95%	18%	55%	49%	53%	42%	62%	70%	56%	46%	43%	90%	62%	42%	54%	53%	10%	97%	42%	55%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Ron DeSantis
Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly approve	42%	3%	76%	32%	45%	39%	48%	36%	24%	39%	47%	50%	2%	35%	50%	41%	38%	80%	2%	53%	38%
Somewhat approve	15%	6%	16%	25%	16%	13%	16%	12%	19%	20%	11%	14%	11%	14%	18%	13%	14%	17%	7%	17%	14%
Somewhat disapprove	8%	15%	3%	9%	7%	9%	8%	9%	8%	7%	9%	7%	16%	8%	10%	6%	10%	1%	13%	7%	9%
Strongly disapprove	33%	73%	5%	32%	31%	35%	25%	42%	48%	33%	30%	27%	66%	43%	20%	37%	35%	1%	75%	23%	37%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	2%	4%	1%	2%	1%	3%	3%	1%	1%	<1%	3%	3%	5%	-	2%	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	2%
Total approve	57%	9%	92%	57%	61%	53%	64%	48%	43%	59%	58%	64%	13%	49%	68%	55%	52%	97%	9%	70%	52%
Total disapprove	41%	88%	7%	41%	38%	44%	33%	51%	56%	41%	39%	33%	82%	51%	30%	43%	45%	2%	88%	30%	46%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Marco Rubio
Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly approve	42%	2%	75%	31%	45%	39%	48%	35%	16%	33%	50%	49%	2%	38%	47%	40%	41%	79%	2%	50%	39%
Somewhat approve	15%	11%	14%	23%	15%	15%	17%	12%	20%	19%	12%	15%	17%	5%	18%	16%	10%	16%	11%	19%	13%
Somewhat disapprove	9%	15%	3%	13%	9%	9%	7%	11%	15%	8%	8%	9%	12%	8%	10%	9%	9%	1%	17%	7%	10%
Strongly disapprove	33%	70%	7%	30%	30%	35%	27%	39%	47%	37%	28%	25%	63%	47%	23%	34%	36%	3%	69%	24%	36%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	2%	3%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	2%	2%	2%	5%	2%	2%	1%	4%	1%	2%	1%	2%
Total approve	56%	13%	89%	54%	59%	54%	64%	48%	36%	52%	62%	64%	20%	43%	65%	56%	51%	95%	13%	69%	52%
Total disapprove	42%	84%	10%	43%	39%	44%	34%	51%	61%	46%	36%	34%	76%	55%	33%	43%	45%	5%	86%	31%	46%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

JD Vance
Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly approve	35%	1%	63%	26%	36%	34%	42%	28%	12%	28%	42%	43%	1%	21%	39%	35%	32%	68%	0%	44%	31%
Somewhat approve	14%	3%	22%	17%	17%	12%	16%	13%	16%	17%	13%	16%	6%	15%	19%	15%	11%	24%	4%	18%	13%
Somewhat disapprove	8%	8%	6%	13%	8%	7%	8%	8%	12%	9%	6%	6%	17%	7%	10%	6%	9%	3%	9%	6%	9%
Strongly disapprove	40%	85%	8%	38%	36%	43%	32%	50%	59%	40%	36%	33%	71%	54%	28%	43%	43%	3%	86%	30%	44%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	3%	3%	1%	6%	3%	3%	3%	2%	1%	6%	2%	2%	5%	3%	4%	1%	5%	2%	1%	2%	3%
Total approve	49%	4%	85%	43%	53%	46%	58%	40%	28%	45%	55%	58%	7%	36%	58%	50%	43%	92%	4%	62%	45%
Total disapprove	48%	93%	14%	51%	45%	51%	40%	58%	71%	50%	43%	39%	88%	61%	38%	50%	52%	6%	95%	36%	53%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump's handling of foreign policy?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly approve	30%	<1%	57%	20%	35%	26%	36%	23%	19%	19%	37%	36%	-	22%	33%	28%	31%	60%	-	36%	27%
Somewhat approve	15%	<1%	24%	20%	14%	17%	19%	11%	13%	21%	14%	18%	2%	16%	19%	15%	14%	27%	1%	19%	14%
Somewhat disapprove	6%	7%	6%	6%	5%	7%	6%	6%	5%	7%	6%	6%	5%	5%	9%	6%	4%	5%	4%	6%	6%
Strongly disapprove	47%	91%	13%	52%	46%	49%	39%	58%	61%	53%	43%	39%	89%	56%	36%	50%	50%	7%	94%	38%	51%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	4%	1%	3%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	1%
Total approve	45%	0%	81%	40%	49%	42%	55%	35%	32%	40%	50%	54%	2%	38%	52%	43%	45%	88%	1%	55%	41%
Total disapprove	53%	97%	18%	58%	51%	56%	44%	65%	66%	60%	48%	45%	94%	61%	45%	56%	54%	12%	98%	44%	58%
Unweighted N	798	239	389	170	307	482	369	429	72	191	535	560	82	120	177	357	264	385	330	198	580

Do you approve or disapprove of President Trump's speech, personality, and/or demeanor?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly approve	20%	-	39%	12%	21%	19%	26%	13%	14%	15%	24%	23%	-	22%	20%	19%	22%	41%	-	26%	17%
Somewhat approve	19%	1%	32%	17%	20%	17%	21%	15%	11%	19%	20%	22%	5%	12%	27%	18%	14%	35%	1%	25%	16%
Somewhat disapprove	11%	4%	14%	14%	12%	10%	11%	12%	10%	16%	9%	11%	5%	6%	11%	12%	11%	16%	3%	12%	11%
Strongly disapprove	49%	92%	14%	53%	46%	51%	40%	59%	66%	50%	45%	42%	85%	58%	40%	51%	50%	7%	95%	37%	54%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	2%	3%	1%	3%	1%	3%	2%	1%	-	1%	3%	2%	6%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Total approve	39%	1%	71%	30%	41%	36%	48%	28%	24%	33%	43%	45%	5%	35%	47%	36%	36%	76%	1%	51%	34%
Total disapprove	60%	96%	28%	67%	58%	61%	51%	71%	76%	66%	54%	53%	89%	64%	51%	63%	61%	23%	98%	49%	64%
Unweighted N	798	239	389	170	307	482	369	429	72	191	535	560	82	120	177	357	264	385	330	198	580

Recently, the Trump administration completed renovation of the Reflecting Pool in Washington DC, which then became filled with algae, turning the Pool green.

The Trump Administration claimed this was due to vandalism, while others have attributed it to the poor quality of the renovation, and/or natural scientific processes. Which do you think best explains what happened to the pool?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Vandalism	25%	2%	45%	18%	25%	25%	30%	20%	10%	16%	32%	30%	4%	21%	25%	25%	24%	47%	2%	30%	23%
Poorly handled renovation	42%	77%	15%	45%	39%	45%	38%	46%	52%	39%	41%	37%	77%	45%	37%	46%	41%	12%	78%	34%	45%
Natural/scientific processes	18%	13%	20%	21%	18%	17%	19%	16%	25%	25%	13%	18%	7%	16%	20%	14%	20%	22%	12%	19%	17%
Something else (please specify):	3%	3%	3%	2%	3%	2%	3%	3%	-	3%	3%	3%	2%	5%	4%	2%	4%	3%	3%	1%	3%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	13%	6%	17%	14%	15%	11%	10%	15%	13%	18%	11%	13%	10%	13%	15%	13%	11%	16%	5%	16%	11%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

An amendment to the Florida State Constitution has been proposed that would phase out taxes on homestead property, other than those directed to schools. It would require local governments to use property taxes only for core public services. Would you support or oppose this amendment?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly support	40%	12%	63%	33%	45%	36%	45%	34%	32%	40%	41%	43%	18%	40%	45%	37%	41%	65%	13%	54%	35%
Somewhat support	21%	22%	18%	27%	23%	20%	25%	17%	20%	17%	23%	22%	28%	15%	19%	21%	22%	20%	22%	21%	22%
Somewhat oppose	15%	23%	8%	16%	11%	17%	11%	18%	14%	17%	14%	13%	17%	20%	16%	16%	11%	6%	23%	12%	16%
Strongly oppose	18%	34%	5%	20%	17%	18%	12%	25%	21%	21%	16%	17%	25%	16%	15%	18%	18%	4%	36%	11%	20%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	7%	9%	6%	5%	5%	9%	7%	6%	13%	6%	6%	6%	12%	9%	5%	7%	7%	5%	6%	2%	8%
Total support	61%	34%	81%	60%	67%	56%	70%	51%	52%	57%	65%	65%	46%	55%	64%	58%	63%	85%	35%	75%	56%
Total oppose	32%	57%	13%	35%	28%	35%	23%	43%	35%	38%	29%	30%	42%	36%	31%	35%	29%	10%	59%	23%	36%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Thinking about the property tax phase out just described, estimates suggest that if passed, this amendment would lead to a $11.8 billion shortfall over 2 years in city/county budgets across the state. Knowing this, would you support or oppose this amendment?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly support	30%	8%	50%	23%	37%	25%	36%	25%	29%	30%	31%	34%	11%	26%	37%	29%	29%	52%	8%	44%	26%
Somewhat support	15%	10%	18%	17%	15%	15%	18%	13%	11%	12%	17%	15%	12%	17%	15%	15%	16%	20%	8%	18%	14%
Somewhat oppose	19%	20%	15%	24%	18%	19%	18%	19%	20%	19%	18%	17%	25%	19%	19%	20%	17%	14%	21%	17%	19%
Strongly oppose	29%	56%	9%	28%	25%	31%	21%	36%	28%	32%	27%	27%	41%	32%	24%	32%	27%	7%	57%	18%	33%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	8%	7%	8%	7%	5%	10%	7%	7%	11%	7%	7%	8%	11%	6%	7%	5%	11%	8%	7%	3%	9%
Total support	45%	18%	68%	40%	52%	40%	53%	37%	40%	42%	48%	49%	23%	44%	51%	43%	45%	72%	16%	62%	40%
Total oppose	47%	76%	24%	53%	43%	51%	40%	55%	49%	51%	45%	44%	66%	51%	42%	52%	43%	21%	77%	35%	52%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Usage of artificial intelligence (AI) has significantly increased over the past year. Which of the following most closely describes your feelings about the rollout of AI?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly support	12%	5%	15%	14%	16%	7%	11%	12%	7%	11%	12%	12%	6%	15%	8%	9%	16%	16%	6%	14%	11%
Somewhat support	37%	27%	45%	36%	41%	34%	37%	37%	26%	35%	40%	39%	31%	33%	36%	37%	37%	44%	31%	42%	36%
Somewhat oppose	28%	33%	24%	29%	22%	33%	27%	29%	36%	31%	25%	26%	36%	26%	29%	31%	23%	22%	34%	27%	29%
Strongly oppose	21%	32%	13%	20%	17%	24%	23%	19%	29%	22%	19%	20%	23%	24%	25%	19%	21%	15%	28%	15%	23%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	3%	3%	4%	1%	3%	3%	3%	2%	1%	1%	4%	4%	4%	1%	2%	4%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%
Total support	49%	32%	60%	50%	58%	41%	48%	50%	33%	46%	53%	50%	37%	49%	44%	47%	54%	60%	37%	56%	47%
Total oppose	49%	65%	37%	49%	39%	56%	49%	48%	66%	53%	43%	46%	59%	50%	54%	50%	44%	37%	62%	42%	51%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Many communities around the country this year have debated whether to build data centers in their local area.

Supporters cite the need for AI development and opportunity for increased local government revenue, while opponents worry about rising energy costs and environmental impact. Would you support or oppose the building of an AI data center in your local area?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Strongly support	10%	4%	17%	4%	15%	5%	10%	10%	1%	6%	13%	10%	4%	14%	8%	9%	12%	17%	2%	11%	9%
Somewhat support	18%	10%	25%	17%	21%	16%	19%	18%	8%	17%	21%	19%	12%	16%	17%	16%	23%	24%	11%	24%	16%
Somewhat oppose	16%	17%	14%	20%	16%	17%	18%	15%	21%	12%	17%	15%	29%	16%	18%	14%	18%	16%	17%	18%	16%
Strongly oppose	51%	68%	37%	56%	44%	58%	50%	53%	68%	61%	44%	51%	52%	51%	54%	56%	44%	37%	69%	42%	55%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	4%	3%	6%	3%	4%	4%	4%	4%	2%	4%	5%	5%	4%	3%	4%	6%	4%	5%	2%	5%	4%
Total support	28%	13%	42%	22%	36%	21%	29%	28%	9%	23%	34%	29%	16%	30%	25%	25%	35%	41%	13%	36%	25%
Total oppose	68%	84%	52%	76%	60%	74%	67%	69%	89%	73%	61%	66%	81%	68%	72%	70%	62%	54%	85%	60%	71%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

These last few questions are for statistical purposes only, so we can compare your responses to others in the survey. Which of the following best describes the industry in which you currently are employed?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Agriculture, Fishing and Hunting	2%	1%	2%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	1%	2%	2%	1%	2%	1%	6%	-
Manufacturing	3%	1%	4%	6%	4%	2%	4%	3%	-	4%	3%	4%	1%	3%	4%	4%	2%	5%	1%	12%	-
Raw Materials	<1%	-	<1%	-	1%	-	<1%	-	-	-	<1%	-	-	2%	-	-	1%	1%	-	1%	-
Construction and Real Estate	12%	8%	16%	10%	17%	8%	15%	8%	10%	16%	10%	13%	10%	10%	13%	13%	10%	16%	8%	44%	-
Law Enforcement	4%	4%	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%	2%	6%	4%	3%	3%	3%	6%	3%	4%	3%	5%	3%	14%	-
Transportation and Warehousing	4%	6%	4%	3%	7%	2%	6%	3%	4%	6%	4%	3%	6%	9%	6%	3%	6%	3%	6%	16%	-
Something else (please specify):	73%	80%	68%	75%	65%	80%	67%	81%	79%	68%	75%	74%	77%	69%	69%	74%	74%	67%	81%	8%	100%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	2%	1%	2%	2%	1%	3%	1%	2%	-	<1%	3%	2%	3%	1%	2%	1%	3%	2%	0%	-	-
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Do you or your family rent or own your home?
Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Rent	15%	24%	9%	18%	14%	16%	15%	16%	30%	20%	11%	9%	35%	29%	10%	16%	18%	8%	23%	14%	16%
Own	81%	73%	88%	79%	81%	80%	81%	81%	67%	77%	85%	87%	61%	68%	89%	80%	77%	89%	74%	84%	80%
Something else [VOL]	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	4%	3%	3%	3%	3%	4%	2%	3%	1%	3%	4%	3%	3%	2%	4%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	1%	1%	1%	1%	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	-	-	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%	-	<1%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Thinking back to the 2024 Presidential Election, who did you vote for?

Response	Total	Dem	Rep	NPA/Oth	Male	Female	No BA	BA +	18-34	35-54	55+	White	AfAm/Black	Hisp/Lat	North FL	Central FL	South FL	Trump '24	Harris '24	Blue Collar	Other
Donald Trump	50%	3%	87%	43%	53%	47%	58%	41%	36%	47%	54%	60%	4%	38%	62%	48%	45%	100%	-	64%	45%
Kamala [COMMA-luh] Harris	40%	88%	7%	36%	36%	42%	33%	48%	55%	35%	38%	32%	84%	48%	27%	41%	45%	-	100%	29%	44%
Someone else	4%	3%	2%	10%	4%	3%	3%	5%	4%	7%	3%	4%	4%	3%	4%	5%	3%	-	-	4%	4%
Didn’t vote	3%	4%	1%	5%	3%	4%	3%	3%	4%	5%	2%	2%	2%	7%	3%	3%	3%	-	-	4%	3%
Don't know/Refusal [VOL]	4%	3%	3%	6%	3%	4%	3%	4%	1%	5%	3%	2%	6%	5%	4%	3%	4%	-	-	0%	4%
Unweighted N	848	250	425	173	321	517	388	460	78	198	572	588	82	142	189	375	284	417	344	212	616

Nature of the Sample	N
Likely Florida Midterm Voters	848
Party Registration	%
Democrat	33%
Republican	46%
NPA/Other	21%

Sex	%
Male	46%
Female	54%

Educational attainment	%
No Bachelor's Degree	53%
Bachelor's Degree or higher	47%

Race/Ethnicity	%
White	71%
African American/Black	10%
Hispanic/Latino	13%
Other	6%

Age	%
18-24	4%
25-34	8%
35-44	12%
45-54	15%
55-64	22%
65+	40%

Strata	%
Pensacola DMA	4%
Panama City	2%
Tallahassee DMA - Rural	1%
Jacksonville DMA - Rural	5%
Gainesville DMA - Rural	1%
Orlando DMA - Rural	14%
Tampa DMA - Rural	13%
West Palm DMA - Rural	3%
Fort Myers DMA - Rural	5%
Broward & Monroe Counties	8%
Miami-Dade County	9%
Tallahassee DMA - Urban	2%
Jacksonville DMA - Urban	4%
Gainesville DMA - Urban	1%
Orlando DMA - Urban	8%
Tampa DMA - Urban	12%
West Palm DMA - Urban	8%
Fort Myers DMA - Urban	2%

Survey Mode	%
Phone	54%
Web	46%